The Business Times

Gold prices firm as US dollar retreats from 14-year high

Published Thu, Nov 17, 2016 · 03:27 AM

[BENGALURU] Gold steadied early on Thursday as a rally in the US dollar showed signs of fatigue after the currency hit its highest in nearly 14 years against a basket of currencies the day before.

Spot gold was up 0.2 per cent at US$1,227.25 an ounce at 0231 GMT, after dropping 0.25 per cent in the previous session.

US gold futures rose 0.27 per cent to US$1,227.20 an ounce.

The US dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of major currencies, slipped 0.12 per cent to 100.290, as moderate US inflation data drove a flattening of the US Treasury yield curve.

The index climbed to 100.57 on Wednesday, which was its highest since April 2003, after a week-long rally mainly driven by the post-election surge in US bond yields as traders bet the Trump administration will adopt inflationary policies.

"The dollar was higher and gold was sold. Now, the dollar has given away gains and gold is steady," said Yuichi Ikemizu, head of commodity trading at Standard Bank in Tokyo.

"It has found a bottom around US$1,220 and looks firm."

"We need something for gold to follow. At this moment there is nothing supporting movement and investors are sidelined," Mr Ikemizu added.

St Louis Fed President James Bullard said on Wednesday that the Fed would hike US interest rates in December barring any major shocks.

Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker said he favoured raising interest rates and that the US central bank might have to hike more aggressively if the incoming Trump administration enacts fiscal stimulus.

Financial markets expect the Fed to hike next month and have begun pricing in a much more aggressive run of rate increases after Mr Trump promised during campaigning for the Nov 8 election to boost the US economy with spending on infrastructure.

"Since the gold market has absorbed the likelihood of a December rate rise, we do not think Mr Bullard's rate comments were especially price-negative," said James Steel, chief metals analyst for HSBC Securities.

Gold is highly sensitive to interest rates.

Spot gold has failed to break resistance at US$1,235 per ounce and may consolidate below this level, which is above support at US$1,210 for one or more days, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.

SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 0.13 per cent to 926.26 tonnes on Wednesday.

Silver fell 0.3 per cent to US$16.92 an ounce.

Platinum was down 0.12 per cent at US$942.74 per ounce and palladium slipped 0.1 per cent at US$714.40.

REUTERS

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