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Goldman Sachs cuts crude price forecasts for the next five years

[BENGALURU] Goldman Sachs slashed its crude oil price forecasts for 2016 to 2020, citing improved US shale efficiency meeting global oil demand, coupled with unimpeded OPEC productivity.

However, the US investment bank, in a note published on Saturday, raised its view of the average 2015 Brent price to US$58 per barrel from its earlier forecast of $52 and lifted its outlook for the average WTI price to US$52 per barrel from US$48 The bank assumes a US$5 per barrel Brent-WTI spread through 2016-2020, consistent with transportation economics.

On May 12, the US investment bank had cautioned that the recent rally in oil prices was 'premature,' and a sequential weakening of prices was required for the rebalancing of the market to resume.

Oil prices have recovered this year, after sharp falls prior to 2015. Benchmark Brent crude oil futures has rallied about 12 per cent since the beginning of the year, and are up by about 40 per cent from their 2015 low.

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