The Business Times

Oil dips on profit-taking, trade deal limits decline

Published Tue, Aug 28, 2018 · 10:40 PM

[NEW YORK] Oil prices fell on Tuesday as some investors took profits on recent strong gains, but losses were limited the day after a US-Mexico trade agreement eased worries about tensions between the two countries.

Brent crude futures fell 26 cents to settle at US$75.95 a barrel. The global benchmark touched US$76.97 early in the session, the highest since July 11.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures fell 34 cents to settle at US$68.53 a barrel.

Last week Brent marked a 5.6 per cent gain, while WTI increased 4.3 per cent.

"The market was due for a correction," said Phillip Streible, senior market strategist at RJO Futures.

Oil prices extended losses slightly in post-settlement trade after industry group the American Petroleum Institute said that U.S. crude inventories rose unexpectedly by 38,000 barrels last week to 405.7 million. Analysts had expected a decrease of 686,000 barrels. Official weekly stock data is due at 10.30am EDT (1430 GMT).

News that workers at Total's North Sea oil platforms no longer plan to strike on Sept 3 also weighed on the market.

Limiting losses, however, was Monday's news that the United States and Mexico agreed to overhaul the North American Free Trade Agreement (Nafta).

"It paves the way for the energy industry in both countries to coexist rather freely, and that should be good for demand," Bob Yawger, director of futures at Mizuho in New York, said.

Canada's top trade negotiator joins her Mexican and US counterparts in Washington on Tuesday in a bid to remain part of the trilateral pact.

Prices also drew support from findings of the monitoring committee of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, that countries including Russia participating in an output-cut deal have been steadily increasing production, but at a more modest pace than some had expected.

Investors are more confident that supply should fall short of demand in the coming months, as reflected by a narrowing in the discount, or spread, between the October and November Brent futures contracts to around 33 cents a barrel, half of what it was a month ago.

China's independent refiners have ramped up their foreign oil buying after returning from prolonged summer maintenance to gear up for rising winter fuel demand.

Meanwhile, Iran's crude oil and condensate exports in August are set to drop below 70 million barrels for the first time since April 2017, well ahead of the Nov 4 start date for a second round of US economic sanctions.

"While the Iranian sanctions remain worthy of a bullish checkmark, we are not expecting any new headlines capable of swinging this factor further into the bullish column," Jim Ritterbusch, president of Ritterbusch and Associates, said in a note.

REUTERS

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