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Oil drops as China cuts growth target

It is hard to get very bullish on oil prices as the market is still working off 2018 surpluses, say analysts

Oil demand growth has been flagging along with an economic slowdown, especially in Europe and Asia.


OIL prices fell on Tuesday as China cut its 2019 economic growth target, dimming the outlook for fuel demand, although OPEC-led efforts to cut output still offered some support.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures were at US$56.31 per barrel, down 28 cents, or 0.5 per cent, from their last settlement. Brent crude futures were at US$65.37 per barrel, down 30 cents, or 0.5 per cent.

"Near term ... it is hard to get very bullish on oil prices. The market is still working off the surpluses built in H2 2018, keeping OECD commercial inventories stuck above the five-year average," said energy analysts at economic research firm TS Lombard.

Oil demand growth has been flagging along with an economic slowdown, especially in Europe and Asia.

"There are plenty of signs that the global economy is slowing - weak car sales and manufacturing data from China, flat growth in Europe, and a slowing GDP rate in the fourth quarter for the US," said Matt Stanley, a broker at Starfuels in Dubai.

China said on Tuesday it was targeting economic growth of 6.0 to 6.5 per cent in 2019, down from the 6.6 per cent growth reported last year, already the lowest in decades.

Optimism that the United States and China will soon end their bitter trade disputes has offered some support. China's Commerce Minister Zhong Shan said on Tuesday that trade talks with the United States have been difficult but that working teams from both countries are continuing with their negotiations.

To prop up the market, the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries has led efforts since the start of the year to withhold around 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) of supply.

The group was due to decide in April whether to continue withholding supply, but OPEC sources said this week a decision would likely be delayed until June, meaning cuts will continue at least until then.

The OPEC-led supply curbs, as well as US sanctions against its members Iran and Venezuela, come at the same time as US crude output C-OUT-T-EIA chases ever new records, rising by more than 2 million bpd since early 2018 and above 12 million bpd for the first time in February.

The cuts to OPEC supply have pushed up the Brent international crude price benchmark due to a shortage of the heavy crudes that OPEC mostly produces. At the same time, the surge in US output is weighing down US WTI prices as there is ample supply of America's mainly light crudes. REUTERS

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