The Business Times

Oil prices rise as Mid-East tensions simmer

Global supply may also remain tight as Opec and allies - including Russia - appear likely to extend oil cut pact at Vienna meeting

Published Mon, Jun 24, 2019 · 09:50 PM

London

OIL prices rose on Monday, extending large gains last week that were prompted by tensions between Iran and the United States, as Washington was set to announce new sanctions on Teheran.

West Texas Intermediate crude was up 50 cents, or 0.87 per cent, at US$57.93 a barrel. Brent futures were up 9 cents, or 0.14 per cent, at US$65.29 a barrel by 1040 GMT.

US President Donald Trump said on Friday he called off a military strike in retaliation for the shooting down of a US drone by Iran, saying the potential death toll would be disproportionate, adding on Sunday that he was not seeking war.

But US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said "significant" sanctions on Iran would be announced on Monday aimed at further choking off resources that Teheran uses to fund its activities in the region.

Oil prices surged after Iran shot down the drone on Thursday that the US claimed was in international airspace and Teheran said was over its territory.

Brent racked up a gain of about 5 per cent last week, its first weekly gain in five weeks, and WTI jumped about 10 per cent, its biggest weekly percentage gain since December 2016.

"The Middle East clashes should support oil prices at the start of the week as crude markets will wait to see Iran's response to the threat of additional sanctions," said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA in New York.

Also boosting prices, global supply may remain tight as Opec and its allies including Russia appear likely to extend their oil cut pact at their meeting July 1-2 in Vienna, analysts said.

"An extension of Opec+ production cuts through the end of the year seems highly likely given recent price action", US investment bank Jefferies said in a note.

"The market expects an extension though, and any failure could see oil price gap down. The probabilities favor restraint however," it added.

Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak on Monday said international cooperation on crude production had helped stabilise oil markets and is more important than ever.

"There is a good example of successful cooperation in balancing the oil market between the Opec countries and non-Opec. Thanks to joint efforts, we today see a stabilisation of world oil markets," Mr Novak said.

Boosting oil demand, prospects of a near-term interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve aimed at bolstering the US economy have weakened the dollar.

Oil is usually priced in dollars, and a slide in the value of the weaker greenback makes it cheaper for holders of other currencies. REUTERS

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