The Business Times

The fight to fuel Australia's post-virus economy

Published Wed, May 13, 2020 · 09:50 PM

NEVER let a crisis go to waste - Australia's clean energy industry is championing former White House chief of staff Rahm Emanuel's catchphrase to push for a renewable-powered economic recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic.

But their plan to fast-track a pipeline of solar and wind projects in the sun-kissed nation and inject as much as A$50 billion (S$46 billion) into the economy faces a formidable opponent in a government-backed fossil fuel industry, which counters that there's at least that much in natural gas expansion projects awaiting the green light.

Early signs suggest that Prime Minister Scott Morrison's centre-right government will be reluctant to cut its strong ties to the resources sector and commit whole-heartedly to de-carbonisation, even after one of the worst wildfire seasons on record brought climate change to the fore in one of the world's biggest per-capita polluters.

The government may find itself increasingly out of step with the rest of the world - a recent survey led by Nobel laureate Joseph Stiglitz showed strong support among policymakers globally for climate-friendly measures to lead the post-Covid-19 recovery.

That movement is being led by the European Union. The region is pushing through a Green Deal strategy that will set out more ambitious targets for greenhouse gas emissions, despite attempts to slow its progress by member states more reliant on fossil fuels.

"Let's turn this moment of crisis into a moment of opportunity," John Grimes, head of the Smart Energy Council, a body that promotes the solar and storage industry, said in an interview. "Australia stands out as a global laggard on climate change. For us to flip that and become a global leader would send a huge message to the world." Australia has some of the best solar and wind resources on the planet, according to the Clean Energy Council, a Melbourne-based lobby group that proposed the fast-tracking of renewable projects. That comes as Energy Minister Angus Taylor calls for a "gas-fired recovery" to power a revival of the dormant manufacturing base.

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The gas industry's contribution to the economy is huge. Australia vies with Qatar for the mantle of the world's top liquefied natural gas exporter, and the start of several large facilities in the past decade played a major role in the country dodging recession after the global financial crisis. However, gas's potential to drive the recovery could be more limited this time around.

Australia's manufacturing sector has long complained that the high cost of domestic gas makes it uncompetitive in global terms. With prices down sharply due to this year's oil market rout, policymakers in Canberra see an opportunity to rebuild fuel-intensive industries such as chemicals and fertiliser production.

The government's plan is to streamline the environmental approvals process to bring on new resources for the domestic market.

In Mr Grimes's view, the government has "an ideological blind spot" when it comes to clean energy. He questioned the logic of investing in gas when solar and wind already offer a cheaper, greener alternative.

Developing so-called green steel, made using hydrogen from renewable power rather than metallurgical coal, could also help to arrest years of decline in that industry, according to a report this week by the Grattan Institute think tank, which identified a A$65 billion export opportunity in green steel production.

The clean energy industry faces its own challenges. Investment in the sector tapered off in 2019, after surging in the two years prior, as policy uncertainty and grid constraints combined to stem the flow of capital. Failure to adopt policies that encourage more renewables into the system means potential gains in energy productivity are being lost, according to a Monash University study.

As the country slowly emerges from its Covid-19 hibernation, the question is whether its leaders have the political will to take a greener path to recovery. BLOOMBERG

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