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‘We cannot afford this’: Malaysia pushes back on China’s big projects
[KUANTAN, Malaysia] In the world's most vital maritime chokepoint, through which much of Asian trade passes, a Chinese power company is investing in a deepwater port large enough to host an aircraft carrier. Another state-owned Chinese company is revamping a harbor along the fiercely contested South China Sea.
Nearby, a rail network mostly financed by a Chinese government bank is being built to speed Chinese goods along a new Silk Road. And a Chinese developer is creating four artificial islands that could become home to nearly three-quarters of a million people and are being heavily marketed to Chinese citizens.
Each of these projects — along with many more — is being built in Malaysia, a Southeast Asian democracy at the heart of China's effort to gain global influence.
But where Malaysia once led the pack in courting Chinese investment, it is now on the front edge of a new phenomenon: a pushback against Beijing as nations fear becoming overly indebted for projects that are neither viable nor necessary — except in their strategic value to China or use in propping up friendly strongmen.
Malaysia's new leader, Mahathir Mohamad, wraps up a five-day trip to Beijing on Tuesday in which his aim has been to free his country from some of its US$250 billion of debt, some of it owed to Chinese companies. His message in meetings with officials, and in public comments, has been unambiguous.
"We do not want a situation where there is a new version of colonialism happening because poor countries are unable to compete with rich countries," Mahathir said Monday at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing after meeting with Premier Li Keqiang of China.
For a time it appeared China's standard playbook for gaining favor was working in Malaysia. It had successfully courted Mahathir's predecessor, Najib Razak, with easy loans and showcase projects, and secured deals that were of strategic value for its ambitions.
But in May, disaster struck for Beijing when Najib was voted out of office by an electorate tired of the corruption scandals swirling around him, some of which involved China's highest-profile investment deals in Malaysia.
Mahathir, 93, was voted into office with a mandate that included getting the country out from under its suffocating debt.
From Sri Lanka and Djibouti to Myanmar and Montenegro, many recipients of cash from China's huge infrastructure financing campaign, the Belt and Road Initiative, have discovered that Chinese investment brings with it less-savory accompaniments, including closed bidding processes that result in inflated contracts and influxes of Chinese labor at the expense of local workers.
Fears are growing that China is using its overseas spending spree to gain footholds in some of the world's most strategic places, and perhaps even deliberately luring vulnerable nations into debt traps to increase China's dominion as U.S. influence fades in the developing world.
Mahathir's government has suspended two major Chinese-linked projects amid accusations Najib's government knowingly signed bad deals with China to bail out a graft-plagued state investment fund and bankroll his continuing grip on power.
On the chopping block were a US$13.4 billion contract for the China Communications Construction Co. to build the East Coast Rail Link and a US$2.5 billion agreement for an arm of a Chinese energy giant to construct gas pipelines.
"The Chinese must have been thinking, ‘We can pick things up for cheap here,'" said Khor Yu Leng, a Malaysian political economist who has been researching China's investments in Southeast Asia. "They've got enough patient capital to play the long game, wait for the local boys to overextend and then come in and take all that equity for China."
Malaysia's new finance minister, Lim Guan Eng, raised the example of Sri Lanka, where a deepwater port built by a Chinese state-owned company failed to attract much business. The indebted South Asian island nation was compelled to hand over to China a 99-year lease on the port and more land near it, giving Beijing an outpost near one of its busiest shipping lanes.
Mahathir made clear what he thought of China's strategy.
"They know that when they lend big sums of money to a poor country, in the end they may have to take the project for themselves," he said.
"China knows very well that it had to deal with unequal treaties in the past imposed upon China by Western powers," Mahathir added, referring to the concessions China had to give after its defeat in the opium wars. "So China should be sympathetic toward us. They know we cannot afford this."
Mahathir's administration has been in power for little more than 100 days. In that time, Malaysian officials say, they have discovered that billions of dollars in inflated Chinese contracts were used to relieve debts associated with a Malaysian state investment fund at the heart of a graft scandal that led to Najib's downfall.
The US Treasury Department has accused Najib and his family and friends of plundering billions of dollars from that fund, 1Malaysia Development Berhad, or 1MDB. When the indebted fund began a fire sale of assets, two Chinese state-owned giants, the China General Nuclear Power Corp. and the China Railway Engineering Corp., moved in, prompting speculation that Beijing was happy to keep Najib's cash-strapped government afloat.
Sitting at his desk during an interview after the election, Mahathir pointed to a sheaf of papers before him. It was a proposal from a Malaysian construction company that he said contained evidence that the East Coast Rail Link could have been developed by a Malaysian company for less than half the US$13.4 billion contract won by the China Communications Construction Co., a state-owned Chinese firm with extensive operations overseas.
Notably, the rail tender process was closed.
Last week, Lim, the finance minister, told parliament that Malaysia would not be able to cover the operational cost for the railway, much less the capital expenditure, which he estimated at nearly $20 billion rather than $13.4 billion.
Neither the Chinese company nor its Malaysian partner responded to requests for comment.
"It looks like not all the money is being used for building the railway line," Mahathir said of the East Coast Rail Link deal. "The likelihood is the money has been stolen."
Malaysian investigators are looking into whether an associate of Najib's stepson may have brokered the rail deal to alleviate the debt accrued by 1MDB or to fund Najib's re-election campaign.
While the role of Chinese money in bailing out Najib's indebted administration has received the most attention, another Chinese megaproject raises even sharper questions about Beijing's geopolitical aims.
The Malaysian city of Malacca was once a conduit for spices and treasures that flowed from Asia to Europe. The strait named after the city is still the channel through which much of Asia's seaborne trade — and most of China's oil imports — flows.
But Malacca's port silted up centuries ago and is now a backwater. A US$10 billion development project — backed by PowerChina International, a major Chinese utility, and two Chinese port developers — is supposed to propel Malacca back into global significance, as a vital stop on a maritime trade route that stretches from Shanghai to Rotterdam, Netherlands.
The plan for the project, Melaka Gateway, includes three artificial islands and an expanded natural islet, which will hold an industrial park, cruise terminal, theme park, marina, offshore financial hub and self-styled seven-star hotel.
And there will be a new deepwater port, with berths large enough to host an aircraft carrier. The port operator was given a 99-year lease for the deepwater terminal, rather than the more common 30-year time frame.
Beijing has funded the building of ports across the Indian Ocean, a strategy known as the string of pearls. Military experts have raised the possibility that these ports could one day welcome Chinese warships and submarines.
"You look at a map, and you can see the places where China is plotting ports and investments, from Myanmar to Pakistan to Sri Lanka, on toward Djibouti," said Liew Chin Tong, Malaysia's deputy defense minister. "What's crucial to all that? Our little Malaysia, and the Malacca Strait."