Greek think tank IOBE sees Greek economy in recession in 2016

Published Thu, Jan 21, 2016 · 10:38 AM

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    [ATHENS] Greece's economy contracted about 0.5 per cent last year, less than previously expected, and will likely stay in recession this year without a strong surge in investment, the country's influential think tank IOBE said in a quarterly report on Thursday.

    "The recession in 2015 is projected at around 0.5 per cent, smaller than initially estimated when the economy entered a phase of capital controls," the Foundation for Economic and Industrial Research said in the report.

    IOBE's previous forecasts in October had projected a 1.5 to 2.0 recession in 2015.

    The milder contraction last year was attributed to strong tourism with cheaper energy costs and a weaker euro helping out on the balance of payments front.

    But investment remains a weak spot that will keep the 173 billion euro economy in recession this year as well. IOBE expects the economy's contraction this year will be a bit bigger compared to 2015.

    "The weak link in the national output equation, once again will be investment. Growth cannot come before conditions are created for a strong investment wave," IOBE said.

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    REUTERS

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