US jobless claims fall to 364,000, lowest since March 2020

[WASHINGTON] New applications for unemployment benefits fell last week to 364,000, according to government data released on Thursday, the lowest since March 14, 2020 when the pandemic lockdowns began.

That was a decline of 51,000 new jobless claims for the week ended June 26, according to the seasonally adjusted Labor Department figures.

The decline was far better than economists had expected but analysts warn the figures are volatile and subject to unexpected moves.

Still, the drop came as several US states have terminated supplemental unemployment benefits early amid concerns the payments are keeping workers on the sidelines as businesses struggle to fill open positions.

But claims for special aid for freelance workers not eligible for regular benefits - Pandemic Unemployment Assistance (PUA) - rose by nearly 3,500 to 115,267 in the week, the report said.

As the US economic reopening has gathered momentum amid widespread vaccinations, the four-week moving average for initial claims continued its downward trajectory, dipping to 392,750 - compared to 1.5 million in the same week of 2020.

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Ian Shepherdson of Pantheon Macroeconomics said the figures could be skewed by annual closures in auto factories.

"It's possible, then, that the recent data signal a slowing in the trend rate of decline in claims, but these numbers are noisy and we aren't going to rush to judgment on the back of such a short run of data," he said in an analysis.

However, there were still 14.7 million people receiving some form of benefits as of June 12, although that was less than half the 32 million total a year earlier, according to the report.

AFP