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US producer prices unchanged; underlying inflation soft
[WASHINGTON] US producer prices were unexpectedly unchanged in November as increases in food and gasoline prices were offset by declining costs for services, pointing to muted inflation despite a recent uptick in consumer prices.
The Labour Department said on Thursday the flat reading in its producer price index for final demand last month followed a 0.4 per cent surge in October. In the 12 months through November, the PPI gained 1.1 per cent, matching October's rise, which was the smallest increase since Oct 2016.
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the PPI would rise 0.2 per cent in November and accelerate 1.2 per cent on a year-on-year basis.
Excluding the volatile food, energy and trade services components, producer prices were also unchanged last month after edging up 0.1 per cent in October. The so-called core PPI increased 1.3 per cent in the 12 months through November, the smallest gain since Sept 2016, after advancing 1.5 per cent in October.
The data followed a report on Wednesday showing solid gains in consumer prices in November. The Federal Reserve, which has a 2 per cent annual inflation target, tracks the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index for monetary policy.
The core PCE price index rose 1.6 per cent on a year-on-year basis in October and has fallen short of its target this year. November PCE price data will be published next week.
The Fed on Wednesday kept interest rates steady and indicated borrowing costs were likely to remain unchanged at least through next year amid expectations the economy would continue to grow modestly and the unemployment rate remain low.
The government reported last Friday that the economy added a robust 266,000 jobs in November and the unemployment rate fell back to 3.5 per cent, its lowest level in nearly half a century. Other data on housing, trade and manufacturing have also been relatively upbeat, and suggested the economy was growing at a moderate speed rather than stalling.
In November, wholesale energy prices increased 0.6 per cent after rebounding 2.8 per cent in October. They were supported by a 2.3 per cent rise in gasoline prices, which followed a 7.3 per cent surge in October.
Goods prices rose 0.3 per cent last month, slowing from October's 0.7 per cent gain in October. Wholesale food prices increased 1.1 per cent last month after vaulting 1.3 per cent in October. Core goods prices increased 0.2 per cent last month. They were unchanged in October.
The cost of services dropped 0.3 per cent last month, the biggest drop since February 2017, reversing October's 0.3 per cent gain. Trade services, which measure changes in margins received by wholesalers and retailers, dropped 0.6 per cent, accounting for over two-thirds of the drop in prices for services last month.
The cost of healthcare services fell 0.2 per cent in November after accelerating 0.8 per cent in the prior month. Those healthcare costs feed into the core PCE price index. Portfolio management fees, which also go into the calculation of the core PCE price index, rebounded 1.2 per cent after falling 0.9 per cent in October.