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Indonesia Q1 growth hits 3-year high, but momentum seen peaking

The economy grew 5.6% year on year in the January-March period, its fastest pace since Q3 2022

Elisa Valenta
Published Tue, May 5, 2026 · 03:17 PM
    • Increases in unsubsidised fuel prices in April and May  are expected to raise logistics costs and trigger spillover price increases for goods and services across the economy.
    • Increases in unsubsidised fuel prices in April and May are expected to raise logistics costs and trigger spillover price increases for goods and services across the economy. PHOTO: EPA

    [JAKARTA] Indonesia’s economy expanded at its fastest pace in more than three years in the first quarter of 2026, but economists warn that rising global tensions and domestic fiscal pressures could weigh on growth in the months ahead.

    South-east Asia’s largest economy grew 5.6 per cent year on year in the January to March period, its fastest expansion since the third quarter of 2022, the statistics agency said on Tuesday (May 5). The figure also exceeded the median forecast in a Bloomberg poll and was higher than growth recorded in the final quarter of 2025.

    Analysts, however, cautioned that the strong performance may represent the peak of Indonesia’s growth this year as global uncertainties intensify.