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South-east Asia’s sinking currencies raise spectre of ’97/98 financial crisis

But there is no need to sound the alarm, say pundits, as the pressures this time are external and regional economies are far more resilient

Goh Ruoxue
Published Mon, Apr 22, 2024 · 05:00 AM
    • The Indonesian rupiah crumbled to a new four-year low on Apr 19, hovering at around 16,260 to the US dollar.
    • The Indonesian rupiah crumbled to a new four-year low on Apr 19, hovering at around 16,260 to the US dollar. PHOTO: BLOOMBERG

    SOUTH-EAST Asian currencies have been whiplashed, losing between 1 and 7 per cent this year against a “smiling” US dollar. Persistent inflation, robust growth in the world’s largest economy, and escalating geopolitical tensions have driven a flight to the safe-haven greenback.

    Rising oil prices, a persistently feeble yen and a weak yuan fixing have exacerbated declines, pushing some regional currencies to multi-year lows. If this persists, it could evoke the spectre of the late-90s’ Asian financial crisis (AFC), which was sparked by battered currencies.

    But, pundits say, the events unfolding now are not quite the same and a crisis akin to the AFC is unlikely.

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