Australian business conditions soften in January, costs a problem

Published Tue, Feb 13, 2024 · 12:14 PM — Updated Tue, Feb 13, 2024 · 12:17 PM
    • The RBA has lifted interest rates to a 12-year peak of 4.35 per cent in an effort to restrain inflation and continues to warn that another hike might be needed even as the economy slows.
    • The RBA has lifted interest rates to a 12-year peak of 4.35 per cent in an effort to restrain inflation and continues to warn that another hike might be needed even as the economy slows. PHOTO: BLOOMBERG

    AUSTRALIAN business conditions softened further in January led by a slowdown in the service sector, a survey showed on Tuesday (Feb 13), while price pressures ticked up again after cooling the month before.

    The survey from National Australia Bank (NAB) showed its index of business conditions slipped two points to +6 in January, just below its long-run average of +7.

    Its measure of business confidence added one point to +1, following a seven-point rebound in December.

    “Confidence remains weak as it has for some time, consistent with ongoing pressures across the economy with growth clearly slowing in the back half of 2023, and cost growth still high,” said Alan Oster, chief economist at NAB.

    The survey’s measure of business sales eased three points to +11, while both profitability and employment dipped two points to +5. Capacity utilisation picked up to 83.6 per cent, from 82.8 per cent.

    Quarterly growth in purchase costs edged up to 1.8 per cent in January, while growth in retail prices rebounded to +0.9 per cent from +0.5 per cent in December.

    “Price pressures remain solid despite the ongoing easing in activity measures,” Oster said. “However, they typically lag activity in the economy and we expect an ongoing easing in price pressures across the economy in early 2024.”

    The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has lifted interest rates to a 12-year peak of 4.35 per cent in an effort to restrain inflation and continues to warn that another hike might be needed even as the economy slows. REUTERS

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