MOST of the record physical delivery of sugar by commodities traders at the expiration of the October futures contract at the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) last week will head to China, according to two traders with knowledge of the deals.

Wilmar International – the Singapore-based food trader that built a large long position and decided to take nearly all of the record delivery of 2.87 million tonnes – has closed deals to sell between one million and 1.5 million tonnes to China, they said.

According to the traders, who work for two of the largest players in the global sugar trade, Wilmar has also closed deals to send some of the sugar to Indonesia, Egypt and India.

Wilmar has not returned a Reuters request for comment.

The physical delivery of sugar at the expiry of the October contract last week was the largest of any contract, at any year, since raw sugar futures started to be traded in New York – the world’s price benchmark for the sweetener – in 1914.

All of the 2.87 million tonnes of sugar is of Brazilian origin, to be loaded from Brazilian ports between early October to Dec 15. The size of the delivery is enough to fill around 45 Panamax-size vessels.

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“We think Wilmar has already sold most, or even all, of that volume,” said the first trader.

“And China bought around 1.2 to 1.5 million tonnes.”

The second trader estimated Wilmar’s sales to China at around one million tonnes.

“They sold it cheaper to have a large book,” he said, indicating the Singapore-based trader will make a profit due to the very large volume.

The fresh Chinese buying comes days after the country decided to resume sales of its sugar reserves – the first time it does it since 2016 – as stocks internally were running low and prices were high.

Traders and analysts said that a combination of several factors led to the large delivery, including the record Brazilian crop, elevated interest rates and the reduced premium between the October and the March contracts at ICE.

“With current interest rates, carrying sugar nowadays costs a lot of money,” the second trader said, referring to the costs of storage and hedging.

Logistics

It will be a challenging logistic operation for Wilmar and the delivering parties, the traders said, as the rainy season is starting in the South American country and that can delay loading.

A total of six commodities traders decided to deliver the sugar, including China’s COFCO, Louis Dreyfus, Sucden and Viterra.

According to ICE rules, deliverers have to bring the sugar to the ports, and the receiver needs to nominate the vessel.

The second source said Wilmar has nominated the first six vessels this week. Most of the loading will take place in Santos and Paranagua ports.

“This massive delivery shall create huge lineups with big waiting times in Oct-Nov when sugar vessels still compete with the grain exports and are also exposed to eventual delays related to the rainy season,” said sugar analyst Claudiu Covrig. REUTERS