Continuing US jobless claims rise to highest since February

RECURRING applications for US unemployment benefits rose to the highest since early February, suggesting that Americans who are losing their jobs are having more trouble finding a new one as the labour market shows tentative signs of cooling.

Continuing claims – which include people who have already received unemployment benefits for a week or more – climbed by 62,000 to 1.7 million in the week ended Nov 26, Labor Department data showed on Thursday (Dec 8).

Initial unemployment claims increased by 4,000 to 230,000 in the week ended Dec 3. The figure was in line with the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of economists.

The data can be choppy from week to week, especially around the holidays. The four-week moving average, which smooths out such volatility, ticked up to 230,000.

Economists have been watching continuing claims more closely in recent weeks as they serve as an indicator of how hard it is for people to find work after losing their jobs. They have also been known to hint at upcoming recessions. Although the gauge has been generally rising for the last two months, it is still near historic lows.

Continuing claims have now strung together the three largest increases since May 2020.

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Other data point to what is still a largely tight labour market, marked by robust job creation and rising wages, while other sectors have been struggling under the Federal Reserve’s aggressive interest rate hikes. However, lay-offs are rising in banking and technology, and some industries such as retail cut staff last month.

On an unadjusted basis, initial claims rose by the most since the start of the year to 286,436 last week. California, New York and Texas posted the biggest increases. BLOOMBERG