German investor sentiment hits 22-month low: ZEW

Published Tue, Oct 14, 2014 · 09:32 AM
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[Frankfurt] Investment sentiment in Germany fell to its lowest level in nearly two years in October amid concerns about the economic fallout from geopolitical crises and lower-than-expected growth, a survey found on Tuesday.

The widely watched investor confidence index calculated by the ZEW economic institute fell by 10.5 points to minus 3.6 points in October, its lowest level since November 2012, and the first time since then that it has been in negative territory, ZEW said in a statement. It was the 10th month in a row that the index has fallen.

"ZEW's financial market experts expect the economic situation in Germany to decline further over the medium term," said ZEW president Clemens Fuest.

"Geopolitical tensions and the weak economic development in some parts of the eurozone, which is falling short of previous expectations, are a source of persistent uncertainty. These factors are tarnishing growth expectations in Germany," Mr Fuest said.

A raft of recent disappointing data, including factor orders, industrial production, and foreign trade "have likely contributed to the growing pessimism among financial market experts," ZEW added.

For the survey, ZEW questions analysts and institutional investors about their current assessment of the economic situation in Germany, as well as their expectations for the coming months.

The sub-index measuring financial market players' view of the current economic situation in Germany fell by 22.2 points to 3.2 points in October, its lowest level since June 2010.

A frequent criticism of the ZEW index is that it can be volatile and is therefore not particularly reliable.


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