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Trump turbulence throws 60/40 portfolio investment strategy into question

Strategy is not foolproof – it has faltered in 2022 when both bonds and stocks suffered negative returns

Published Mon, Apr 28, 2025 · 06:30 AM
    • The 60/40 portfolio is a classic invesment strategy which comprises 60 per cent equities and 40 per cent bonds, and has remained a pillar for diversified portfolios.
    • The 60/40 portfolio is a classic invesment strategy which comprises 60 per cent equities and 40 per cent bonds, and has remained a pillar for diversified portfolios. PHOTO: AFP

    [SINGAPORE] The 60/40 portfolio – allocating 60 per cent of one’s investments to equities and the remaining 40 per cent to bonds – has been a commonly touted investment strategy. But analysts warned that macroeconomic uncertainties – including the direction and impact of interest rates and trade tariffs – are throwing this strategy of maintaining a well-balanced, diversified portfolio into disarray.

    The way DBS chief investment officer Hou Wey Fook sees it, current macroeconomic conditions have rendered the 60/40 portfolio investment strategy suboptimal.

    For moderate-risk investors, the 60/40 portfolio allocation has been a popular rule of thumb as it seeks to balance the higher risk and higher return potential of equities with the lower risk and stability of bonds.

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