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US reciprocal tariffs could fall to 10% after talks – except for China: Citigroup chief economist

He expects ‘additional penalty’ on Chinese goods to continue

 Elysia Tan
Published Wed, May 28, 2025 · 07:44 PM
    • Upcoming sectoral tariffs are unlikely to be as low as 10%, and for pharmaceuticals, the rate will likely be 25%, says Citigroup global chief economist Nathan Sheets.
    • Citigroup’s global chief economist Nathan Sheets expects global trade to settle into an equilibrium, with a “pretty clear idea” of this being possible in six to 12 months.
    • Upcoming sectoral tariffs are unlikely to be as low as 10%, and for pharmaceuticals, the rate will likely be 25%, says Citigroup global chief economist Nathan Sheets. PHOTO: AFP
    • Citigroup’s global chief economist Nathan Sheets expects global trade to settle into an equilibrium, with a “pretty clear idea” of this being possible in six to 12 months. PHOTO: CITIGROUP

    [SINGAPORE] Sky-high reciprocal tariffs may converge on the baseline rate of 10 per cent after US talks with trading partners – though not for China, which will still face higher rates, said Citigroup’s global chief economist Nathan Sheets.

    He expects global trade to settle into an equilibrium, with a “pretty clear idea” of this being possible in six to 12 months.

    Yet, these higher rates will likely remain even after the next US president takes office, he warned in an interview with The Business Times.

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