Japan wholesale inflation accelerates in August

The data will likely be among the factors that the Bank of Japan will scrutinise at its next policy meeting on Sep 18 to 19

    • The BOJ expects rises in rice and other food prices to gradually slow and, coupled with steady wage gains, underpin consumption and the broader economy.
    • The BOJ expects rises in rice and other food prices to gradually slow and, coupled with steady wage gains, underpin consumption and the broader economy. PHOTO: AFP
    Published Thu, Sep 11, 2025 · 12:16 PM

    [TOKYO] Japan’s wholesale inflation accelerated in August on steady rises in food costs, data showed on Thursday (Sep 11), highlighting sticky inflationary pressure that may keep alive market expectations of a near-term interest rate hike.

    The data, seen as a leading indicator of consumer prices, will likely be among the factors that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will scrutinise at its next policy meeting on Sep 18 to 19.

    The corporate goods price index (CGPI), which measures the price companies charge each other for their goods and services, rose 2.7 per cent in the year to August, matching market forecasts and accelerating from a revised 2.5 per cent increase in July.

    Food and beverage prices rose 5.0 per cent in August from a year earlier, faster than a 4.7 per cent gain in July, suggesting that stubbornly high food costs will keep inflation elevated.

    Electricity, gas and water bills fell 2.9 per cent year on year in August due in part to government subsidies to curb utility prices, the data showed.

    An index measuring yen-based import prices fell 3.9 per cent in August from the previous year, slower than a revised 10.3 per cent drop in July, the data showed.

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    “Wholesale inflation is likely to stay above 2 per cent for the time being on elevated prices of farm goods, food and beverages,” said Yutaro Suzuki, an economist at Daiwa Securities.

    “But upward price pressure is gradually moderating” with yen rises seen pushing down import costs, he said.

    The BOJ ended a decade-long, massive stimulus last year and raised interest rates to 0.5 per cent in January on the view Japan was on the cusp of durably achieving its 2 per cent inflation target.

    While core consumer inflation has exceeded the BOJ’s target for well over three years, governor Kazuo Ueda has stressed the need to tread cautiously to scrutinise the scale of damage to the economy from US tariffs.

    In current forecasts made in July, the BOJ expects rises in rice and other food prices to gradually slow and, coupled with steady wage gains, underpin consumption and the broader economy. REUTERS

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