Oil falls more than 1% as growth fears offset China demand hopes

Published Wed, Feb 22, 2023 · 06:15 AM

BRENT crude oil slipped more than 1 per cent in a volatile session on Tuesday as persistent concerns about global economic growth outweighed supply curbs and prompted investors to take profits on the previous day’s gains.

The focus in the wider financial market is firmly on the release on Wednesday of the minutes of the US Federal Reserve’s latest meeting, after recent data raised the risk of interest rates remaining higher for longer.

Global benchmark Brent crude settled US$1.02, or 1.2 per cent, lower at US$83.05 a barrel.

US West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) for March, which expired on Tuesday, fell 18 cents, or 0.2 per cent, to US$76.16 a barrel. The second-month contract slipped 19 cents, or 0.2 per cent, at US$76.27.

The price moves today “seem to be more technical in nature,” said Phil Flynn, analyst at Price Futures Group. “We seem to be fading off on the same, old concerns that the dollar is going to be strong and about the interest rate situation.”

A stronger greenback makes dollar-denominated oil more expensive for holders of other currencies.

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Earlier in the session, the market rallied, with Brent briefly turning positive, after better-than-expected business activity surveys in Europe and Britain pointed to a less gloomy European economic outlook than previously feared.

On Monday, oil prices rose by more than 1 per cent on optimism over Chinese demand that analysts expect to rebound this year after Covid-19 restrictions were scrapped.

The WTI contract did not settle on Monday because of a public holiday in the United States, which has also delayed by a day both industry and official weekly US oil inventory reports, respectively to Wednesday and Thursday.

US crude stockpiles have grown weekly for about two months, and were forecast in a Reuters poll to have risen 1.2 million barrels last week.

However, signs of tighter supply lent prices some support.

Russia plans to cut crude oil production by 500,000 barrels per day, or about 5 per cent of its output, in March after the West imposed price caps on Russian oil and oil products over the invasion of Ukraine.

The cut, announced this month, will apply only to March output for now, Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Tuesday, according to news agency reports.

Russia is part of the Opec+ group comprising the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) and allies, which agreed in October to cut oil production targets by 2 million bpd until the end of 2023.

Separately in the natural gas market, US regulators approved the partial restart of Freeport LNG’s Texas facility, the second-biggest US liquefied natural gas export plant, which was shut after a fire in June. REUTERS

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