Optimism over China demand sets oil on track for strong weekly gain

Published Fri, Jan 13, 2023 · 07:38 PM
    • Oil prices are also being buoyed by a weaker greenback, as it makes the commodity cheaper for buyers holding other currencies.
    • Oil prices are also being buoyed by a weaker greenback, as it makes the commodity cheaper for buyers holding other currencies. PHOTO: REUTERS

    OIL prices rose on Friday (Jan 13) and were on track to make a weekly gain of more than 7 per cent. Markets cheered over solid signs of demand growth in top oil importer China, and expectations of less aggressive interest-rate hikes in the United States.

    Brent crude futures rose by 53 US cents, or 0.6 per cent, to US$84.56 a barrel by 10.27 am GMT. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures gained 55 US cents, or 0.7 per cent, to stand at US$78.94 per barrel.

    Brent has jumped 7.6 per cent this week and WTI was up 7 per cent, recouping most of the losses in the previous week.

    Analysts said that recent Chinese crude purchases and a pick-up in road traffic have fuelled confidence in demand recovery in the world’s second-largest economy, following the reopening of its borders and the easing of its Covid-19 curbs last year.

    ANZ analysts noted that, in another encouraging sign, a congestion index covering the 15 Chinese cities with the largest number of vehicle registrations had risen 31 per cent from a week earlier.

    “Gains are pencilled in as traders look ahead to a further drop in Russian supply and the normalisation in China’s fuel demand,” PVM oil analyst Stephen Brennock said.

    “Before then, however, renewed bouts of selling cannot be discounted, given the current looseness of the oil balance.”

    Oil prices have also been buoyed by a slide in the US dollar to a nine-month low, after data showing that US inflation fell for the first time in two-and-a-half years was released. This has reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve would slow the pace of rate hikes.

    A weaker greenback tends to boost demand for oil, as it makes the commodity cheaper for buyers holding other currencies. REUTERS

    Decoding Asia newsletter: your guide to navigating Asia in a new global order. Sign up here to get Decoding Asia newsletter. Delivered to your inbox. Free.

    Share with us your feedback on BT's products and services