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Trade war a negative-sum outcome for Asia

Impact on aggregate demand will overwhelm positive trade substitution effect, says Morgan Stanley economist

Sharon See

Sharon See

Published Wed, Nov 20, 2019 · 09:50 PM

Singapore

ASIAN economies may have made gains from the US-China trade war at the expense of China - but the gains are less than what China has lost, resulting in a negative-sum outcome for the whole of Asia, a Morgan Stanley economist has suggested.

"We are seeing the US importing a lot less from China. They are importing a lot more from the rest of the Asia region, so the other Asia producers are definitely gaining at China's expense - but whatever they have gained is actually still less than what China lost.

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