US economic growth revised lower for Q1; weekly jobless claims edge up
GDP grows at 1.3% annualised rate from January through March, down from advance estimate of 1.6% and notably slower than 3.4% pace in final three months of 2023
THE US economy grew more slowly in the first quarter than previously estimated after downward revisions to consumer spending, the Commerce Department reported on Thursday (May 30).
Gross domestic product grew at a 1.3 per cent annualised rate from January through March, down from the advance estimate of 1.6 per cent and notably slower than the 3.4 per cent pace in the final three months of 2023.
The downgrade of Q1 growth followed recent softness in readings of retail sales and equipment spending.
A measure of inflation during Q1 was revised down to 3.3 per cent from 3.4 per cent, the stiffest quarterly price-pressure growth in a year. After easing through much of last year, measures of inflation came in higher than expected to start 2024, driving Federal Reserve policymakers to push back expectations for when they will be able to pivot to interest rate cuts.
The downward revision to GDP brings Q1’s growth rate to the lowest since the second quarter of 2022, when the economy contracted, and leaves output below the 1.8 per cent rate that officials at the Fed see as its longer-run, noninflationary potential.
The soft start to the year is not expected to have persisted into the current Q2, however, thanks in part to continued strength in the job market.
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The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits ticked higher last week, but underlying strength in the labour market still shows signs of persisting and should continue to support the economy.
Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 3,000 to a seasonally adjusted 219,000 for the week ended May 25, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 218,000 claims in the latest week.
The labour market is steadily rebalancing in the wake of 525 basis points worth of interest rate hikes from the Fed since March 2022 to slow demand in the overall economy.
The so-called continuing claims tracking those who collect benefits beyond the first week rose 4,000 to a seasonally adjusted 1.791 million during the week ending May 18, the claims report showed.
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