US service sector steady in August; employment cooling

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) says its non-manufacturing purchasing managers (PMI) index was little changed at 51.5 last month

Published Thu, Sep 5, 2024 · 10:28 PM
    • The report added to solid consumer spending in July in suggesting that the economy continued to expand, though at a moderate pace relative to last year.
    • The report added to solid consumer spending in July in suggesting that the economy continued to expand, though at a moderate pace relative to last year. PHOTO: REUTERS

    US SERVICES sector activity was steady in August, but employment gains slowed, consistent with an easing labour market.

    The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said on Thursday (Sep 5) that its non-manufacturing purchasing managers (PMI) index was little changed at 51.5 last month, compared with 51.4 in July.

    A PMI reading above 50 indicates growth in the services sector, which accounts for more than two-thirds of the economy. The ISM views readings above 49 over time as generally indicating an expansion of the overall economy.

    Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the services PMI dipping to 51.1. The report added to solid consumer spending in July in suggesting that the economy continued to expand, though at a moderate pace relative to last year.

    A jump in the unemployment rate to a near three-year high of 4.3 per cent in July sparked fears of a recession and put a 50-basis points interest rate cut on the table this month when the Federal Reserve is expected to start its easing cycle.

    The ISM survey’s new orders measure increased to 53.0 from 52.4 in July. Its measure of services employment fell to 50.2 from 51.1 in July.

    The labour market is slowing, but hardly deteriorating. Government data on Wednesday showed there were 1.07 job openings for every unemployed person in July, down from 1.16 in June.

    Job growth is expected to have picked up in August, according to a Reuters survey, which forecast nonfarm payrolls increasing 160,000 last month after rising 114,000 in July. The unemployment rate is forecast slipping to 4.2 per cent.

    Services inflation was little changed last month. The ISM’s prices paid measure for services inputs edged up to 57.3 from 57.0 in July. Price pressures in the economy are subsiding as higher borrowing costs curb demand. REUTERS

    Decoding Asia newsletter: your guide to navigating Asia in a new global order. Sign up here to get Decoding Asia newsletter. Delivered to your inbox. Free.

    Share with us your feedback on BT's products and services