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Yield curve inversion = Imminent recession?
Since 1960, every recession was preceded by an inversion, but not every inversion led to a recession
Leonardo Drago
Published Sat, Apr 20, 2019 · 5:50 am
Since equity markets have a tendency to anticipate and discount future events, equity bear markets always start well before a recession. This happens because economic recessions are based on GDP data, which is backward looking.
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