government deficit

Advanced economies may be entering a period of structurally higher and more volatile inflation than in the pre-pandemic era.

Opinion & Features

The hidden dangers of sovereign debt

Advanced economy sovereign debt, once viewed as safe havens, is starting to look like a risk asset

Franklin Templeton's Sonal Desai says investors should be cautious about making aggressive bets on falling interest rates.

Companies & Markets

US deficits, not de-dollarisation, reshaping bond markets: Franklin Templeton

Issues such as persistent fiscal spending are likely to keep yields elevated, says firm’s fixed-income CIO

Anton Eser notes that despite a more fragile macro backdrop, spreads across both investment-grade and high-yield credit remain tight in public markets.

Companies & Markets

Credit markets are underpricing inflation, debt risks: Robeco CIO

Against this backdrop, the asset manager favours shorter-duration exposures and higher-quality credit

Worry about the budget deficit picked up in May tied to a tax-cut bill moving through Congress. The House-passed version of the tax and spending bill would add US$2.4 trillion to US budget deficits over the next decade, according to an estimate from the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office.

International

US deficit is a ‘ticking time bomb’, Citadel Securities President says

CITADEL Securities President Jim Esposito said the US deficit and mounting government debt levels are a “ticking time bomb,” adding his voice to the chorus of financial executives soundings warnings a...

A Republican sweep in November is expected to pose the greatest risk to bonds by expanding Trump's ability to implement his agenda, some of which is expected to contribute to higher inflation.

Wealth

Bigger debt loads and erratic politics haunt bond markets

There is anxiety about the fiscal path as governments are squeezed by high interest costs and elections cast uncertainty

“A moderately restrictive fiscal policy not only acts as a brake on inflation. It also makes it possible to create sustainable scope for investment,” says German Finance Minister Christian Lindner.

International

German deficit forecast at 1.75% in 2024, says stability council

The structural government deficit is expected to be around 1.25 per cent of GDP in 2024, falling to around 0.75 per cent in 2025

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