American greatness and decline
Populist nationalism at home, rather than the rise of China, is by far the biggest threat to US power
WITH most Americans believing that the United States is in decline, Donald Trump claims that he can “Make America Great Again”. But Trump’s premise is simply wrong, and it is his proposed remedies that pose the biggest threat to America.
Americans have a long history of worrying about decline. Shortly after the founding of the Massachusetts Bay Colony in the 17th century, some Puritans lamented the loss of an earlier virtue. In the 18th century, the founding fathers studied Roman history when considering how to sustain a new American republic. In the 19th century, Charles Dickens observed that if Americans are to be believed, their country “always is depressed, and always is stagnated, and always is at an alarming crisis, and never was otherwise”. On a 1979 magazine cover about national decline, the Statue of Liberty has a tear rolling down her cheek.
But, while Americans have long been drawn to what I call the “golden glow of the past”, the US has never had the power many imagine it did. Even with preponderant resources, America has often failed to get what it wants. Those who think that today’s world is more complex and tumultuous than in the past should remember a year like 1956, when the US was unable to prevent the Soviet repression of a revolt in Hungary; and when our allies Britain, France, and Israel invaded the Suez. To paraphrase the comedian Will Rogers, “hegemony ain’t what it used to be and never was”. Periods of “declinism” tell us more about popular psychology than about geopolitics.
Share with us your feedback on BT's products and services