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Americans underestimate the impact of voter suppression

    • Prior research found that people are less likely to vote when polling places are further away, when polling stations’ opening hours are limited, and even when it rains.
    • Prior research found that people are less likely to vote when polling places are further away, when polling stations’ opening hours are limited, and even when it rains. Pixabay
    Published Mon, Oct 24, 2022 · 06:28 PM

    CASTING one’s vote is the defining act of a participatory democracy. But states in America have passed a variety of restrictions, including limiting polling place access, imposing stricter voter identification requirements, adding administrative burdens for mail-in voting and a litany of other rules, restrictions and regulations. All these will make voting more difficult for some eligible voters heading to the polls in November for the pivotal US midterm elections.

    Such hurdles dampen voter turnout. While calls for more secure voting could be seen as deliberate attempts by Conservatives to suppress voting, our research suggests an additional, less cynical reason: Americans greatly underestimate how much these policies limit the ability of legitimate voters to vote.

    Small barriers, big consequences

    In our study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, we compared the actual and perceived drivers of voter turnout in the 2020 elections. Specifically, we compared the roles of political beliefs and friction – external barriers that hinder action. We surveyed a representative sample of 1,200 eligible American voters in election-competitive states before the elections, and then followed up with them after the election to see whether they voted.

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