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The desperate search for yield is getting dangerous

Published Thu, Jul 14, 2016 · 09:50 PM

AN investor who fell asleep just two years ago and woke up today would be incredulous at the distortions in the global financial system. One prime example is how, despite a recovering economy, US 10-year Treasuries are yielding 1.5 per cent and still considered a good buy.

One just needs to look across the pond to Europe to find out why. UK 10-year Gilt yields are under 1 per cent. The 10-year German Bund is in negative territory. Dutch bonds had briefly dropped below zero, an apparent 500-year low. Even in the weak southern European countries such as Italy and Spain, 10-year bonds are trading just above 1 per cent.

Trillions of dollars of bonds are trading at negative yields. According to a Bank of Merrill Lynch report cited in The Wall Street Journal, there is now US$13 trillion of negative yielding debt, compared to US$11 trillion before the Brexit vote and almost none in mid-2014.

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