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The pain started long before US$150 oil

As flows through Hormuz remain disrupted, weakening currencies and soaring costs are already rippling through Asia

Anita Gabriel
Published Wed, May 20, 2026 · 06:45 AM
    • There is only a 28% chance that traffic through the Strait of Hormuz will return to normal by end-June, based on Polymarket prediction.
    • There is only a 28% chance that traffic through the Strait of Hormuz will return to normal by end-June, based on Polymarket prediction. PHOTO: REUTERS

    COMMODITIES research giant TD began a recent report on a sombre note: “Storms are brewing that could still see Brent crude hit US$150 a barrel or higher.”

    The house sought to remind markets that the current “calm” – on a relative scale – belies that the “renewed periods of angst” are “just around the corner”.

    Such predictions may sound extreme. But, it is starting to seem less far-fetched now, as more heavyweight pundits raise the possibility that the Strait of Hormuz could remain blocked until June and the US-Iran war might drag on.