Resolved: Trump is serious about trade - and that's troubling

Washington

DURING a time of growing geostrategic instability and geoeconomic uncertainty, one of the flourishing industries in Washington these days is that of political and economic forecasting firms.

Big businesses are willing to pay big bucks to retired diplomats and intelligence analysts who lead these companies to help them forecast the future: Will Saudi Arabia and Iran go to war next year, raising energy prices to the stratosphere? Or will German Chancellor Angela Merkel lose the next election, threatening the entire European project?