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French challenges and eurozone instability may trigger wider angst

The economic and political implications extend beyond the country’s borders

    • Monday’s high-stakes vote in France hinges on a key question vexing the country's prime minister, Francois Bayrou (above) and its president, Emmanuel Macron: how to run a country with finances deep in the red when there is no clear legislative majority for fiscal responsibility.
    • Monday’s high-stakes vote in France hinges on a key question vexing the country's prime minister, Francois Bayrou (above) and its president, Emmanuel Macron: how to run a country with finances deep in the red when there is no clear legislative majority for fiscal responsibility. PHOTO: AFP
    Published Fri, Sep 5, 2025 · 07:00 AM

    FRANCE has enjoyed about nine months of relative political stability under centrist Prime Minister Francois Bayrou. However, the eurozone’s second-largest economy faces an imminent bout of instability on Monday (Sep 8) – which could shake global market confidence – when Bayrou’s government is expected to lose a confidence vote.

    The vote seems likely to end, either with fresh legislative elections, or French President Emmanuel Macron naming a fifth prime minister in some 20 months.

    Historically, this degree of political turmoil recalls the era of the Third Republic (1870 to 1940), which was defined by a polarised electorate and high instability.

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