Growing disconnect between stock market and underlying economy
The fundamentals of the domestic economy, which point to steady but unspectacular growth, do not really justify unbridled optimism
THE local stock market has been going great guns in recent months, with the Straits Times Index (STI) rising to new all-time highs, boosted mainly by strong gains in the banks – most notably, DBS.
Yet, the domestic economy is sluggish, although the recent quarterly data has led private-sector economists to raise their full-year forecasts slightly to between 3.2 and 3.5 per cent.
Globally, the picture is the same: The latest World Bank estimates indicate that by 2027, global gross domestic product growth may average only 2.5 per cent in the 2020s – the slowest pace of any decade since the 1960s.
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