Growing disconnect between stock market and underlying economy
The fundamentals of the domestic economy, which point to steady but unspectacular growth, do not really justify unbridled optimism
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THE local stock market has been going great guns in recent months, with the Straits Times Index (STI) rising to new all-time highs, boosted mainly by strong gains in the banks – most notably, DBS.
Yet, the domestic economy is sluggish, although the recent quarterly data has led private-sector economists to raise their full-year forecasts slightly to between 3.2 and 3.5 per cent.
Globally, the picture is the same: The latest World Bank estimates indicate that by 2027, global gross domestic product growth may average only 2.5 per cent in the 2020s – the slowest pace of any decade since the 1960s.
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