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Stock bulls won’t find much to celebrate in Fed’s pause

Not every interest-rate apex is the same, and this one looks particularly precarious for equities

    • Federal Reserve Board chairman Jerome Powell at a news conference following a Federal Open Market Committee meeting on May 3, 2023 in Washington, DC.  Powell declined to say whether policy was now "sufficiently restrictive".
    • Federal Reserve Board chairman Jerome Powell at a news conference following a Federal Open Market Committee meeting on May 3, 2023 in Washington, DC. Powell declined to say whether policy was now "sufficiently restrictive". Getty Images via AFP
    Published Thu, May 4, 2023 · 04:04 PM

    INVESTORS have traditionally made a lot of money buying stocks when the Federal Reserve delivers the last increase of a rate-hiking campaign. But not every interest-rate apex is the same, and this “hawkish pause” looks particularly precarious for equities.

    First, consider the wording that the Fed used to communicate the change in its posture on Wednesday (May 3). In announcing its latest 25-basis-point increase in the Fed funds rates to a range of 5 per cent to 5.25 per cent, the US central bank also removed this key wording from its post-meeting statement (in the third paragraph):

    The Committee anticipates that some additional policy firming may be appropriate ...

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