Taiwan’s election results and the risks

MANY have been looking closely at the recent elections in Taiwan and not without reason. That attention, however, is not primarily about economic prospects, the key chipmakers, or day-to-day issues facing voters on the island of some 24 million. Rather, it is because mainland China lays claim to the territory whereas the United States is committed to assist its self-defence, making Taiwan a potential flashpoint for conflict.

While this is a long-standing issue, the noise level was much raised recently. More than a few politicians sounded alarm bells about the risks of Taiwan being invaded, mirroring Ukraine’s fate. Just last year, senior American military figures and former commanders publicly proclaimed that China has plans and timelines for invasion.

The People’s Liberation Army stepped up its military presence at sea and in the skies. As electioneering heated up, Beijing characterised Taiwan’s vote as a choice between peace and war.