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Why the American stock market reigns supreme

Lower returns are coming, but they should continue to be world-beating

    • Goldman Sachs predicts that, even in 2075, America’s equity market will be almost as big as China’s and India’s combined.
    • Goldman Sachs predicts that, even in 2075, America’s equity market will be almost as big as China’s and India’s combined. PHOTO: AFP
    Published Tue, Oct 15, 2024 · 05:58 PM

    IF YOU had invested US$10,000 in the American stock market at the end of the year 2000, you would have had about US$27,000, after adjusting for inflation, by the end of 2023. If you had invested in global equities excluding America, you would have had only about US$16,000.

    Wall Street’s outperformance this century has propelled America’s stock market to a 61 per cent share of global market capitalisation. That has not surpassed the all-time high reached during the 1960s, but it is close. And it is close even though America dominates the real economy far less than it did half a century ago, before the rise of Asian emerging-market giants and the fall of the Soviet Union. America’s share of the global stock market is 2.3 times its share of gross domestic product – a ratio that has never been higher.

    What accounts for the boom? In part it continues a long-running phenomenon.

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