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Will he or won’t he? How to parse Donald Trump’s daily show

Lessons from a French historian on understanding a US administration that is structured like a reality series

    • Trump's show is structured around a main character who exists in a state of non-stop conflict with countless enemies, many of whom are former associates.
    • Trump's show is structured around a main character who exists in a state of non-stop conflict with countless enemies, many of whom are former associates. PHOTO: REUTERS
    Published Fri, Jun 20, 2025 · 04:30 PM

    IN 1929, two French historians founded a journal called Annales d’Histoire economique et sociale and began writing a new kind of history.

    Their predecessors had chronicled the doings of kings and presidents: wars, treaties and personality clashes. Annales historians dismissed most of that as trivial “events”, mere “headlines of the past”. The Annales’ star Fernand Braudel wrote: “Events are the ephemera of history; they pass across its stage like fireflies, hardly glimpsed before they settle back into darkness.”

    The Annales school focused on the long term: lasting forces such as a region’s climate, geography, its mentalite, or social and economic trends. These were the factors that shaped human existence.

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