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A possible contagion is why Argentina matters

Published Tue, May 15, 2018 · 09:50 PM

THE world is not ready for another financial crisis, but another financial crisis may be ready for the world.

OK, the odds of this are long. Still, they're not non-existent. The history of modern financial crises is that, originating in obscure corners of the financial system, they are initially ignored because they seem innocuous - and then wham!

Think Thailand in 1997: A run against the Thai baht ultimately led to crises in South Korea, Indonesia, Russia and Brazil. Or consider US "sub-prime" mortgages: In 2008, they triggered a collapse of global credit markets. Or recall Greece in 2010: Its debt threatened the very existence of the euro.

The action these days involves Argentina. It has suffered a sudden loss of confidence. Since mid-April, its currency, the peso, has lost about 12 per cent of its value against the dollar. To stem the panic - that is, to convince investors not to sell pesos for dollars - Argentina's central bank has raised intere…

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