Supreme Court stirs UK political flux

THE House of Commons met again on Wednesday after the sensational UK Supreme Court verdict that Prime Minister Boris Johnson's suspension of Parliament was unlawful. Yet, this verdict - which could yet result in the collapse of Mr Johnson's government - is only one of multiple key hinge points in the coming weeks which could see ever intensified uncertainty in the UK, with the range of political outcomes potentially only growing.

There is not just the fallout from Tuesday's court decision, but also the EU Council meeting on Oct 17-18, for instance, which may finally determine whether or not the United Kingdom leaves the EU later that month, with or without a deal. Collectively, these developments will help determine the nation's medium to long-term political future with a General Election potentially on the horizon too.

Amid the sea of apparent unpredictability, one way of navigating the tumult is by looking through the lens of four key scenarios. These different futures are constructed by using two main variables: whether the political leadership of the country will remain a Conservative-led administration, or one of a different stripe (most likely Labour-led). And also whether or not the United Kingdom leaves the EU, whether in 2019 or the 2020s, and whether this is via a withdrawal agreement or no-deal.