Why the Fed should raise interest rates in September
AS the US Federal Reserve approaches its moment of interest rate decision in September, an element of Hollywood bravado is creeping into the drama.
Some experts from emerging market economies - especially the ones like India doing better than the rest because of the decline in oil prices - favour early modest US credit tightening, in spite of recent stock market turbulence, as a way of building faith in a gradually recovering world economy.
One reason for such peoples' Clint Eastwood/Dirty Harry approach - "Go ahead: make my day" - is that subsequent resilience to an interest rate test would delineate better-performing developing nations from their peers, resulting in a relative upgrading of their credit rating. Some notable Wall Street players who have profited from cheap money are dubious about rising interest rates, even calling the Fed to re-enact some form of quantitative easing. This has the originality of the Vatican telling us that the cardinals have selected a Catholic as Pope.
The Fed decision is finely balanced. No one, probably not even Fed chair Janet Yellen herself, can be certain of the outcome. But here are 10 good reasons why she and her colleagues on the Federal Open Market Committee should opt for boldness and decide on a 25 basis point rate rise at its next policy meeting on Sept 16-17.
The writers are respectively, advisory board chairman and managing director of the OMFIF (Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum)
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