Writing on the wall: big banks will get bigger, capital levels will fall

Washington, DC

IN early 2007, the worst financial crisis in almost 80 years began to unfold, coming to a head 18 months later with the collapse of Lehman Brothers and shock waves felt around the world. Desperate government measures saved us from Great Depression II, and officials vowed "never again" would we face the same risks. Politicians and central banks embarked on a broad process of national-level reform and international coordination - all intended to reduce the chance that very large banks could collapse.

A decade later, the global financial system has in some ways become safer as a result of these efforts. In other ways, however, the structure has not changed much - and may even have become more vulnerabl…