Only 16% of Californians can afford to buy a home as rates rise

    • People and companies have left California, or chosen not to move there, because housing is so much more expensive than in most of the US.
    • People and companies have left California, or chosen not to move there, because housing is so much more expensive than in most of the US. PHOTO: BLOOMBERG
    Published Sat, Aug 12, 2023 · 12:05 AM

    BUYING a home in California slipped further out of reach as interest rates climbed and scarce inventory bolstered prices.

    Only 16 per cent of households could qualify to purchase a median-priced single-family home in the second quarter, the California Association of Realtors reported on Friday (Aug 11). That’s down from 19 per cent in the first quarter and 17 per cent a year earlier.

    The state faces an affordability crisis that threatens to hamper growth in the economy and population. People and companies have left California, or chosen not to move there, because housing is so much more expensive than in most of the US.

    “In the long run – three or four years – we’ll see tight supply and lower affordability will trim the competitiveness of California if nothing is done to increase the supply of housing,” Oscar Wei, deputy chief economist for the state Realtors group, said in an interview.

    Nationally, more than a third of households could afford to purchase a US$402,600 median-priced home, according to the report.

    For an existing single-family home at California’s median price of US$830,620, buyers in the second quarter needed a minimum annual income of US$208,000 to qualify for a 30-year mortgage after a 20 per cent down payment. Loans on condos and townhouses, with a median US$640,000 price, required a minimum US$160,400 income.

    Single-family home prices statewide fell 2.4 per cent in the year through June, but buyers’ monthly costs jumped as mortgage rates rose, hovering close to 7 per cent.

    Owners with lower-rate loans are staying put rather than selling, limiting for-sale inventory. The number of new listings in June fell 29 per cent from a year earlier, data from the Realtors group show.

    Statewide affordability rates were at an all-time low in 2007 – at just 11 per cent – when loose lending policies fuelled a housing price bubble. BLOOMBERG

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