US existing home sales fall for 10th straight month in November

US existing home sales slumped to a 2½ year low in November as the housing market continued to be squeezed by higher mortgage rates.

Existing home sales plunged 7.7 per cent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.09 million units last month, the lowest level since May 2020, the National Association of Realtors said on Wednesday (Dec 21). Outside the plunge during the first wave of the Covid-19 pandemic in the spring of 2020, this was the lowest level since Nov 2010.

Sales have now declined for 10 straight months, the longest such stretch since 1999. They dropped in all four regions in November. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast home sales would drop to a rate of 4.20 million units.

House resale, which accounts for a big chunk of US home sales, tumbled 35.4 per cent on a year-on-year basis in November.

The Federal Reserve’s fastest interest rate-hiking cycle since the 1980s has had the most impact on housing. The US central bank is seeking to slow unacceptably high inflation by bringing down demand for everything from housing to labour.

Reports this week showed confidence among homebuilders dropping for a record 12th straight month in December, while single-family homebuilding and permits tumbled to a 2-1/2-year low in November.

The average rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage surged to above 7 per cent a few months ago, the highest since 2002, according to data from mortgage finance agency Freddie Mac. Though the rate has since retreated to 6.31 per cent last week, it is double what it was that time a year ago.

The housing market boomed early in the pandemic as Americans sought bigger properties to accommodate home offices, driving up prices beyond the reach of many. Even with demand down, supply remains tight, keeping home prices elevated, though the pace of increases is slowing.

The median existing house price increased 3.5 per cent from a year earlier to $370,700 in November. It was still the highest house price for any November and prices remain about 37 per cent above their pre-pandemic level.

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There were 1.14 million previously owned homes on the market, up 2.7 per cent from a year ago. At November’s sales pace, it would take 3.3 months to exhaust the current inventory of existing homes, up from 2.1 months a year ago. A four-to-seven-month supply is viewed as a healthy balance between supply and demand.

“In essence, the residential real estate market was frozen in November, resembling the sales activity seen during the Covid-19 economic lockdowns in 2020,” NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun said.

Properties typically remained on the market for 24 days last month, up from 21 days in October. Sixty-one per cent of homes sold in November were on the market for less than a month.

First-time buyers accounted for 28 per cent of sales, up from 26 per cent a year ago. All-cash sales made up 26 per cent of transactions compared to 24 per cent a year ago. REUTERS