Singapore investors buy 2.5 tonnes of bullion in Q1, the highest since 2010

Demand rises 35% year on year

Mia Pei
Published Wed, Apr 30, 2025 · 02:00 PM
    • The World Gold Council forecasts gold jewellery demand in 2025 to be weaker than expected.
    • The World Gold Council forecasts gold jewellery demand in 2025 to be weaker than expected. PHOTO: BT FILE

    [SINGAPORE] Investors’ appetite for gold bars and coins remained strong in the first quarter of 2025. At 2.5 tonnes, demand was up 35 per cent year on year (yoy), the highest since World Gold Council (WGC) started keeping records in 2010.

    Gold investment demand in Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand also grew steadily at double-digit rates yoy, the WGC’s Q1 gold demand report released on Wednesday (Apr 30) indicated.

    But Vietnam’s demand for gold bars and coins dropped 15 per cent on the year to 12 tonnes of gold purchased. This was attributed to higher premiums on the limited availability of gold products as well as local currency depreciation, said WGC.

    Gold jewellery demand declined across the Asean countries, aligning with the global trend amid record-high gold prices. Demand in Singapore, in particular, fell 20 per cent on the year to 1.7 tonnes of gold jewellery purchased.

    Fan Shaokai, head of Asia-Pacific (ex-China) and global head of central banks at WGC, noted that global jewellery demand recorded its lowest level since it was stifled by the Covid pandemic in 2020, which was “unsurprising”, given that gold hit 20 all-time price highs in Q1.

    Central banks’ demand dips

    Global central banks entered their 16th consecutive year of net buying with 243.7 tonnes of gold added to their reserves in Q1, driven by the need for portfolio diversification, risk management, inflation hedging and protection against geopolitical and market volatility, noted Fan.

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    This was, however, down 21 per cent from the 309.9 tonnes purchased in the same quarter last year.

    Despite the fall, the demand, in absolute terms, was still “healthy” at 24 per cent above the five-year quarterly average and 9 per cent below the average over the last three years of elevated demand, highlighted WGC.

    In particular, the Monetary Authority of Singapore sold three tonnes of gold in the quarter, maintaining its total gold holdings at about 220 tonnes.

    Overall gold demand

    Gold investment demand, comprising both gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs), as well as bars and coins, stood at 551.9 tonnes, up 170 per cent on the year. This was driven by a strong revival of demand for gold ETFs, registering net inflows of 226.5 tonnes, compared with net outflows of 113 tonnes for the same period last year.

    Overall gold demand remained steady at 1,206 tonnes, a 1 per cent increase on the year. This includes demand for investment, jewellery fabrication, central bank purchases and technology uses.

    “Amid the ongoing geopolitical tensions and global market volatility, gold, a traditional safe-haven asset, continues to perform strongly, with global gold demand reaching its highest first-quarter level since Q1 2016,” said Fan.

    Outlook for 2025

    WGC expects near-term stagflation risks, medium-term recession risks, elevated stock-bond correlations, an expected acceleration in US deficits and continued geopolitical tensions to continue to drive gold demand for investment.

    Louise Street, senior markets analyst at WGC, said: “Looking ahead, the broader economic landscape remains difficult to predict, and that uncertainty could provide upside potential for gold.”

    Demand for gold bars and coins, specifically, is expected to “stay resilient rather than strong”, given that surging prices would temper geopolitical risk motives, said WGC, noting gold jewellery demand to be weaker than expected.

    “Any stronger jewellery recycling response may be tempered by low near-market stocks, trade-ins, old-gold collateral activity and little distress-driven selling,” added WGC.

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