The Business Times

European shares end April on a high as Sainsbury/Asda merger shakes up retail

Published Mon, Apr 30, 2018 · 10:24 PM
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[LONDON] A multi-billion pound merger between British supermarket Sainsbury's and Asda shook up retail stocks on Monday while European benchmarks ended April with their strongest monthly gains since 2016.

The pan-European Stoxx index rose 0.1 per cent while Germany's DAX gained 0.3 per cent, buoyed by investors' improved risk appetite as inter-Korea tensions eased and companies delivered strong earnings

The regional benchmark delivered a 3.8 per cent gain in April, its strongest month since December 2016, after suffering losses in February and March - testament to renewed investor optimism after a volatility shock in February rattled markets.

On the day, all eyes were on Sainsbury's, whose shares closed up 14.5 per cent after it agreed to merge with Walmart's Asda to create Britain's biggest supermarket group by market share.

The stock was on track for its best one-day gain ever.

"The merger, if successful, creates a retail giant in the UK with enough procurement and distribution scale to dominate food retail and challenge Amazon in non-food," said Berenberg analysts.

The said that Walmart's scale, the e-commerce capabilities of Sainsbury's Argos chain, and the potential synergies between food and non-food retail might be able to challenge Amazon's e-commerce dominance in the UK.

Tesco, which would be overtaken as UK leader by the new merged group, fell 0.9 per cent on the news. Morrisons slipped at the opening but finished 1.3 per cent higher.

The reaction among European retailers was mixed, too. France's Carrefour gained 0.9 per cent and Casino rose one per cent while Ahold Delhaize declined 0.4 per cent.

In other deal news, Deutsche Telekom shares ended the day down 0.7 per cent, having earlier risen to the top of the DAX after the German firm clinched a US$26 billion deal to merge T-Mobile US and Sprint.

AccorHotels rose 1.9 per cent after the French hotel chain agreed to buy rival Movenpick Hotels & Resorts for US$567 million.

In results-driven moves, the world's biggest advertising group, WPP, surged 8.6 per cent after reporting forecast-beating sales in its first results without founder Martin Sorrell.

The agency's gains boosted the pan-European media sector by 1.4 per cent to a three-month high.

A drag on the banking sector was Sweden's SEB, which tumbled 4.5 per cent after reporting first-quarter profit below market expectations as cautious corporate customers and a seasonal slowdown hampered earnings.

French construction materials firm Imerys also fell 5.2 per cent after reporting results.

Glencore dropped 5 per cent after mining subsidiaries in the Democratic Republic of Congo were served freezing orders for alleged unpaid royalties of nearly US$3 billion.

Overall, Europe's first-quarter results season has kicked off relatively weakly, particularly compared to the first quarter of 2017.

Earnings have surprised negatively, on average, in the banking sector, while commodity-related sectors have reported surprisingly strong results thanks to higher materials prices, according to Goldman Sachs.

Societe Generale analysts struck a note of caution about investors' high expectations of earnings.

"Optimistic consensus earnings growth for the next three years could be a source of disappointment," they wrote in a note entitled "Reality check".

REUTERS

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