The Business Times

Wall Street futures up a tad after Democrats win US House

Published Wed, Nov 7, 2018 · 06:52 AM

[SAN FRANCISCO] US stock futures pointed to a modestly higher opening on Wall Street on Wednesday after Democrats won control of the House of Representatives in US mid-term congressional elections.

With US President Donald Trump's Republican party holding onto their majority in the Senate, the results from Tuesday's elections were in line with Wall Street's expectations that Washington was set for gridlock.

Still, a House controlled by the Democrats will hamper Mr Trump's business-friendly agenda and could lead to uncertainty about his administration at a time when investors are already worried that a decade-old bull market may be ending.

S&P 500 e-mini futures were up 0.1 per cent, implying traders expect the US stock market to open with a slight gain on Wednesday.

"Everyone was bracing for any possible, crazy scenario to show itself tonight, but it basically looks like the baseline consensus forecast was correct," said Michael Purves, head of equity derivatives strategy at Weeden & Co, in New York.

"If the futures are up now and they stay up, it's because there is an uncertainty factor that is now out of the market."

Following a steep selloff in October, the S&P 500 remains down more than 5 per cent from its record high, with many investors worried the market could fall further as inflation gathers steam and the Federal Reserve raises interest rates.

Control of the House will let Democrats put Mr Trump's administration under more intense scrutiny, likely making Wall Street nervous.

Gridlock in Washington will all but eliminate the potential for more tax cuts, which Mr Trump has called for and which many on Wall Street would like. Sweeping corporate tax cuts passed by the Republicans last year have supercharged earnings growth.

Some investors were hopeful that Republicans and Democrats could agree on spending to improve infrastructure, which could boost many companies' profits and drive more economic expansion.

The Democrats' ability to prevent Mr Trump from passing new laws may push him to focus more on resolving US disputes with China, other investors said.

In Tuesday's trading session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite each added between 0.63 per cent and 0.68 per cent.

"Now that the elections are behind us, earnings and the Fed will be back in focus. All indications are that neither of those factors support expanding multiples for stocks," said Mohannad Aama, managing director at Beam Capital Management in New York.

REUTERS

BT is now on Telegram!

For daily updates on weekdays and specially selected content for the weekend. Subscribe to  t.me/BizTimes

Capital Markets & Currencies

SUPPORT SOUTH-EAST ASIA'S LEADING FINANCIAL DAILY

Get the latest coverage and full access to all BT premium content.

SUBSCRIBE NOW

Browse corporate subscription here