The Business Times

Global air passenger traffic fell 66% in 2020: Iata

This year is expected to a year of recovery, but the emergence of new variants of the virus has clouded the forecast, says trade group representing 290 airlines

Published Fri, Feb 5, 2021 · 05:50 AM

Paris

GLOBAL air passenger traffic plunged by an unprecedented 66 per cent last year on the back of travel restrictions imposed during the Covid-19 pandemic, an industry group said Wednesday.

The International Air Transport Association (Iata) also warned that new, more transmissible variants of the coronavirus could hurt prospects for a recovery this year.

Given that travel restrictions have been applied mostly to international travel, domestic passenger traffic fared better, falling by 49 per cent, compared with 76 per cent for foreign passenger traffic.

Travel restrictions imposed during the first wave of the pandemic pushed global passenger traffic down to just 5 per cent of its normal level, with airlines parking planes on runways because no other space was available.

Iata's director-general Alexandre de Juniac said in a statement issued by the industry group: "Last year was a catastrophe. There is no other way to describe it.

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"What recovery there was over the northern hemisphere summer season stalled in autumn, and the situation turned dramatically worse over the year-end holiday season, as more severe travel restrictions were imposed in the face of new outbreaks and new strains of Covid-19."

Iata chief economist Brian Pearce told a video news briefing: "Overall, global passenger-kilometers flown were down two-thirds. This is the biggest shock the industry of air travel has ever experienced."

Iata, which represents 290 airlines, did not formally lower its outlook for a pickup in traffic this year, thanks to a global rollout of vaccines. But it warned that the emergence of new variants of the virus has clouded the forecast.

"So we begin 2021, which we still expect to be a year of recovery, from a very low point," Mr Pearce noted.

The association officially expects traffic to increase by 50 per cent from last year's levels, but that would still represent just half the levels of 2019.

Mr de Juniac told the press briefing that the proliferation of restrictions on travel in place since the beginning of 2020 could make even that modest outlook very challenging.

"We are eager to work with governments as partners to understand what the benchmarks and conditions will be for a decision to give people back their freedom of movement," he added.

One relative bright spot last year came from air freight, which declined by a relatively modest 10.6 per cent from the 2019 level, as measured in cargo tonne-kilometers.

That was nonetheless the worst drop since Iata began using the measure in 1990.

As a result, global airlines suffered a combined loss of US$370 billion last year, going by data compiled by the UN aviation agency ICAO. AFP

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