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Is the 30% rebound in Asian high yield sustainable? We think not

China’s property sector is still mired in uncertainty and default risk is persistent. Investors should steer clear of Asian high-yield bonds

    • Country Garden's Fengming Haishang residential development in Shanghai. The company focuses on the more challenging Tier 3 and Tier 4 cities. Its large scale and uncertain outlook show the limitations of policy support.
    • Country Garden's Fengming Haishang residential development in Shanghai. The company focuses on the more challenging Tier 3 and Tier 4 cities. Its large scale and uncertain outlook show the limitations of policy support. PHOTO: BLOOMBERG
    Published Tue, Mar 7, 2023 · 03:44 PM

    AS CHINA unleashed a wave of supportive policies for the property sector alongside the reopening of its economy from Covid-19 curbs, Asian high-yield bonds – as measured by the Bloomberg Asia USD High Yield Bond Index – have surged by around 30 per cent since November 2022.

    In our opinion, the rally is likely to be short-lived.

    Property demand still fragile

    China’s crackdown on the property sector may finally be over, but the deepest problems have not disappeared. Supportive policy measures and the post-Covid reopening have failed to restore confidence in the housing market. As it stands, property demand remains fragile.

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