The big surprises of 2023 and what it means for 2024
INVESTORS have plenty to celebrate in 2023. As measured by the MSCI World Index, global equities grew over 20 per cent while long-term interest rates fell, leading to price gains for bonds. This is a pleasant surprise, as at the start of the year.
Many forecasters were expecting a recession in the United States due to the elevated inflation: 6.5 per cent for Consumer Price Index (CPI) and 5.7 per cent for core CPI against the Fed’s target of 2 per cent.
Several market pundits also expected inflation to be sticky due to a myriad of structural dynamics such as de-globalisation and energy transition.
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