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Bond investing in 2025: Keep duration short and look for quality

Investors will likely enjoy attractive short-end rates for a while without incurring excessive duration risks, especially if the Fed stays hawkish

    • The US Federal Reserve has little reason to cut rates massively today, considering the labour market and inflation.
    • The US Federal Reserve has little reason to cut rates massively today, considering the labour market and inflation. PHOTO: REUTERS
    Published Tue, Jan 21, 2025 · 05:41 PM

    LAST year, short-duration bonds trumped long-duration securities amid a normalisation of the yield curve, with short-end yields falling by less than initial market expectations, and long-end yields climbing significantly.

    Meanwhile, high-yield bond markets outshone their investment-grade counterparts, helped by their shorter duration exposure and continued spread tightening.

    For 2025, we continue to advocate a shorter-duration exposure in your portfolio, as investors can continue earning attractive yields here without incurring excessive duration risks. We also prefer higher-quality bonds such as investment-grade ones with attractive yields without going too far down the credit spectrum.

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